A Florida Poll That Should Change the Way You Look at the Election
A big Trump lead in the state paradoxically adds to evidence of a smaller Electoral College edge for him. And a choice by pollsters may be causing them to miss state shifts.
Kamala Harris Leading Donald Trump in Four Battleground States: Poll
The most important election of a lifetime? Women weigh in on Trump, Harris in new poll
Harris takes lead in NYT poll; is seen as more likely than Trump to represent change
Kamala Harris Takes Lead Over Donald Trump, New Poll Shows
A new poll suggests a shift in voter sentiment, with Harris now seen as the candidate with a new vision for the American people.
How a poll can represent your opinion even if you weren’t contacted for it
Chances are, you’ve never been contacted for an election poll. But the dozens of high-quality election polls that will be released before Election Day represent a reasonable estimate of the opinions of all Americans.
Election conspiracy theories fueled a push to hand-count votes, but doing so is risky and slow
Donald Trump and many Republican elected officials say they want to have ballots counted by hand rather than trusting machines to tabulate the vote
‘Very tight’: Data reporter breaks down poll numbers weeks before the election
CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten breaks down recent polling in battleground states.
How 538's 2024 House election forecast works
On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of Representatives. The general idea behind our forecast is to combine polling data (say, on which party Americans want to control Congress) with a bunch of other quantitative and qualitative data to figure out which candidates are likely to win in each congressional district.
Texas’ new poll watcher protections will be put to the test in 2024 election
Republicans have enlisted legions of poll watchers in Texas and across the country ahead of the Nov. 5 election, a move they say will safeguard against potential election fraud. The situation reflects a national debate in which Republicans warn about the need to combat election fraud,
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Florida has nearly all ballots counted on Election Day, while California can take weeks. This is why
California, the nation’s most populous state, is consistently among the slowest to report all its election results. Florida, the third-most populous state, is generally among the first to finish.
Three Things to Look For in Any Election Poll
A general rule of thumb is that a national poll with 800 to 1,000 respondents provides a decent level of confidence that the sample is representative, though state-level polls can have smaller sample sizes and still be statistically sound.
Poll Finds Harris Rising as She Challenges Trump on Change
A national Times/Siena poll found Kamala Harris with a slim lead over Donald J. Trump. Voters were more likely to see her, not Mr. Trump, as a break from the status quo.
What are Trump's odds of winning the election? Here's why they just got better
Bettors are making stronger guesses at who will win the 2024 election. Recent polling doesn't appear to be fueling their hunches about Donald Trump.